• California's 2018 wildfires caused $150

    From ScienceDaily@1337:3/111 to All on Mon Dec 7 21:31:04 2020
    California's 2018 wildfires caused $150 billion in damages
    Study shows health and socio-economic costs extended far beyond burned
    areas

    Date:
    December 7, 2020
    Source:
    University of California - Irvine
    Summary:
    Researchers quantify the economic costs of California wildfires in
    2018, finding they totaled more than $150 billion, and the costs
    extended far beyond burned areas.



    FULL STORY ==========================================================================
    In 2018, California wildfires caused economic losses of nearly $150
    billion, or about 0.7 percent of the gross domestic product of the entire United States that year, and a considerable fraction of those costs
    affected people far from the fires and even outside of the Golden State.


    ==========================================================================
    For a study to be published Monday, Dec. 7, in Nature Sustainability, researchers at the University of California, Irvine, China's Tsinghua University and other institutions combined physical, epidemiological
    and economic models to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the
    impact of the blazes. More than 8,500 separate fires burned 1.9 million
    acres, making them the deadliest and most destructive in any year in
    California history.

    Tallying the damage, the team found that direct capital impact (burned buildings and homes) accounted for $27.7 billion, 19 percent of the total; $32.2 billion, 22 percent of the whole, came from health effects of air pollution; and $88.6 billion in losses, 59 percent, was indirectly caused
    by the disruption of economic supply chains, including impediments to transportation and labor.

    "When insurance companies, policy makers and even the media assess
    damage from California's wildfires, they focus on loss of life and
    direct destruction of physical infrastructure, which, while important,
    are not the whole picture," said co-author Steve Davis, UCI professor of
    Earth system science. "We tried to take a more holistic approach for this project by including a number of other factors such as the ill effects on
    the health of people living far away and the disruption of supply chains." Climate change, land and fire management, population and economic growth,
    and increasing community encroachment in the wildland-urban interface
    have combined to increase the frequency and severity of wildfires in
    the Western United States over the past few decades, culminating in
    enormously damaging blazes in 2017, 2018 and 2020.

    As the fires burned, satellite images showed trails of smoke spanning
    large areas of California, causing hazardous breathing conditions for
    residents of communities hundreds of miles from the burning fires.

    Power transmission was affected by the fires, as was freight transport
    by rail and trucks, pipeline operations and many other business and infrastructure- dependent activities. The study showed that the majority
    of economic impacts were felt by industries and locations also far from
    the actual fires, and that nearly one-third of the total losses were
    outside of California.

    "The broader impacts of these climate-driven wildfires are not only bigger
    than prior studies have estimated, but also more widely dispersed --
    including sizable impacts outside of the state," lead author Dabo Guan,
    a Tsinghua University professor of Earth system science who is also a University College London researcher.

    Davis said he hopes the study can help policy makers and fire managers
    make more sound decisions in the future about land and forest management, development patterns and fire suppression efforts. For example, the
    larger estimated costs may justify larger and different allocations of resources to fire prevention and suppression.

    In particular, the authors suggest that disaster response teams may
    wish to focus "fire prevention efforts on areas typically upwind of
    major population centers or near important industrial or transportation infrastructure." This study, which was supported by the U.S. National
    Science Foundation and China's National Science Foundation, included researchers from China's Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
    and Norwegian University of Science and Technology.


    ========================================================================== Story Source: Materials provided by
    University_of_California_-_Irvine. Note: Content may be edited for style
    and length.


    ========================================================================== Journal Reference:
    1. Wang, D., Guan, D., Zhu, S. et al. Economic footprint of California
    wildfires in 2018. Nature Sustainability, 2020 DOI:
    10.1038/s41893-020- 00646-7 ==========================================================================

    Link to news story: https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2020/12/201207112306.htm

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